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76ers vs. Heat prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets by model on 86-58 run

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Game 5 LIVE

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Game 5 LIVE

Both the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers have protected home court in their second round series of the 2022 NBA playoffs. The series is 2-2 as it shifts back to Miami for Game 5 on Tuesday night. The Heat are 5-0 at home in the postseason, while the Sixers sport a 2-3 road playoff record. Whoever wins will then have a chance to clinch their spot in the Eastern Conference Finals in Thursday's Game 6.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Heat as 2.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 209.5 in the latest 76ers vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. 76ers picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on 76ers vs. Heat and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for 76ers vs. Heat:

Philadelphia's offense is flying high in the postseason. The 76ers are scoring 115.5 points per 100 possessions, a figure that would have ranked in the top three of the league during the regular season. Philadelphia is shooting 48.2 percent from the field and 38.7 percent from 3-point range in the playoffs, both of which are tremendous marks. The 76ers are also excellent at using the free throw line to their advantage, both in the regular season and through the playoffs. In 2021-22, Philadelphia ranked in the top three of the NBA in free throw attempts (23.8 per game) and free throw accuracy (82.1 percent). In the playoffs, those numbers have jumped to 25.0 attempts per game and an accuracy mark of 84.4 percent.

The 76ers have three proven scoring options in Joel Embiid, James Harden, and Tyrese Maxey, with Maxey experiencing a playoff breakout in averaging 22.0 points per game on 51 percent shooting. Defensively, Philadelphia is also limiting opponents to less than 1.1 points per possession in the playoffs, and the Heat are shooting only 44.1 percent from the field and 28.5 percent from 3-point range in the series.

The Heat are undefeated at home this postseason and they've been dominant in Miami dating back to the regular season. Miami has covered in seven of its last eight home games and is also perfect against the spread over its last three home tilts versus the Sixers. No team has a greater 3-point percentage differential than the Heat, who led the NBA with 37.9 percent from beyond the arc while ranking second in the league by allowing just 33.9 percent on 3-point attempts.

Philadelphia is due for some regression after it made 48.5 percent of its 3-point attempts in both Game 3 and Game 4. The team shot just 34.6 percent through its first seven postseason games and that is more in line with its season average of 36.4 percent. Many of Philadelphia's top players such as Harden, Maxey and Tobias Harris all had worse shooting percentages on the road than at home in the regular season. Meanwhile, Miami has locked down the perimeter even better at home in the 2022 NBA playoffs, holding opponents to a dismal 26.7 percent on 3-pointers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have new life in their Eastern Conference semifinals series against the Miami Heat following their 116-108 victory in Game 4 on Sunday night. After losing the first two games without the services of Joel Embiid, Philadelphia has bounced back in a. major way on their home floor with the team's MVP candidate on the floor.

In the end, Jimmy Butler led all scorers with 40 points but it was the Sixers' balanced attack, led by James Harden's 31 points, nine assists and seven rebounds that ultimately led to the win for Philly to even the series. These two teams will square off in South Beach on Tuesday night in Game 4 with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. Here are the biggest takeaways from Game 4.

James Harden was Philadelphia's best player on Sunday. The numbers, in a vacuum, were stellar: 31 points, nine assists and seven rebounds is the sort of production a team should expect out of a player it has invested as much in as Philly has in Harden. He made nearly as many 3-pointers (six) as the Heat did as a team (seven).

And yet, I can't help but wonder what it says about Harden that this is the sort of performance he's getting praised for. After all, he averaged just shy of 34 points, eight assists and seven rebounds two seasons ago. This was not peak James Harden. This wasn't even a throwback to his old self. He only made two two-point shots in the entire game. He was certainly more aggressive as an attacker, and his 10 free throw attempts were the second-most he's earned this postseason. But it's not as though he rediscovered his old first step. Harden had shot 28.3 percent on his 3s in Philly's past eight playoff games. That isn't who he really is. But neither is 6-of-10 and without that hot shooting, the conversations surrounding his performance probably aren't changing much.

Scoring isn't all Harden does. Even in his compromised state, he's been a stellar playmaker for Philly throughout the postseason. But I don't think we're quite at the point where we can view 30-point outings as something we can expect frequently out of Harden yet. It's entirely possible that the shooting variance swings against him in Game 5 and we're right back where we started. dsyerfdh emkyrxgfhfh ftymfjb

[LIVESTREAM] 76ers vs Heat Game 5 Live Free Online 10 May 2022
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